Choice and Chance

by Skyrms, Brian

Edition: 3rd

ISBN13: 9780534051907

ISBN10: 0534051901

Format: Paperback

Pub. Date: 1985-12-01

Publisher(s): Wadsworth Publishing

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Summary

This definitive survey of the hottest issues in inductive logic sets the stage for further classroom discussion.

Preface	p. vii
Basics of Logic	p. 1
Introduction	p. 1
The Structure of Simple Statements	p. 1
The Structure of Complex Statements	p. 2
Simple and Complex Properties	p. 8
Validity	p. 9
Probability and Inductive Logic	p. 12
Introduction	p. 12
Arguments	p. 12
Logic	p. 14
Inductive versus Deductive Logic	p. 17
Epistemic Probability	p. 23
Probability and the Problems of Inductive Logic	p. 26
The Traditional Problem of Induction	p. 30
Introduction	p. 30
Hume's Argument	p. 30
The Inductive Justification of Induction	p. 35
The Prgmatic Justification of Induction	p. 44
Summary	p. 49
The Goodman Paradox and the New Riddle of Induction	p. 51
Introduction	p. 51
Regularities and Projection	p. 52
The Goodman Paradox	p. 56
The Goodman Paradox, Regularity, and the Principle of the Uniformity of Nature	p. 60
Summary	p. 67
Mill's Methods of Experimental Inquiry and the Nature of Causality	p. 69
Introduction	p. 69
Causality and Necessary and Sufficient Conditions	p. 69
Mill's Methods	p. 73
The Direct Method of Agreement	p. 74
The Inverse Method of Agreement	p. 79
The Method of Difference	p. 85
The Combined Methods	p. 90
The Application of Mill's Methods	p. 94
Sufficient Conditions and Functional Relationships	p. 97
Lawlike and Accidental Conditions	p. 101
The Probability Calculus	p. 109
Introduction	p. 109
Probability, Arguments, Statements, and Properties	p. 109
Disjunction and Negation Rules	p. 111
Conjunction Rules and Conditional Probability	p. 117
Expected Value of a Gamble	p. 128
Bayes' Theorem	p. 130
Probability and Causality	p. 134
Kinds of Probability	p. 137
Introduction	p. 137
Rational Degree of Belief	p. 137
Utility	p. 138
Ramsey	p. 141
Relative Frequency	p. 144
Chance	p. 146
Probability and Scientific Inductive Logic	p. 151
Introduction	p. 151
Hypothesis and Deduction	p. 151
Quantity and Variety of Evidence	p. 153
Total Evidence	p. 154
Convergence to the Truth	p. 156
Answers to Selected Exercises	p. 158
Index	p. 171
Table of Contents provided by Syndetics. All Rights Reserved.

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